Wer nun neuer Präsidentschafts- Kandidat der Demokraten wird, ist noch offen. Kamala Harris – oder doch Hillary Clinton (wie neuerdings angekündigt wird) – mal sehen.
Biden war mal intelligent, und wurde dann krank – und die Auswirkungen sah man.
Harris war nie intelligent, ist gesund und doof – und so gesehen eigentlich eine gute Kandidatin.
Hillary ist intelligent und verschlagen, und könnte gegen Trump gewinnen (was gut wäre, denn was nach dem Krieg von den USA (militärisch-wirtschaftlich-finanziell) noch übrig ist, sollte man Trump nicht wünschen, dass er regieren muss).
Die USA militärisch, wirtschaftlich und finanziell dort landen, wo Russland unter Jelzin in den 1990er- Jahren war.
Wie auch immer, die Wahl wird sowieso, wie auch 2020, wieder gefälscht, und entweder Kamala oder Hillary werden Präsidentin.
Jedenfalls hat Biden nun alle Freiheiten, bis zum 20. Jänner 2025 vieles zu tun, und vor allem – er muss nicht mehr auf eine Widerwahl Rücksicht nehmen.
Einfach mal einen Krieg anfangen, vielleicht auch ein paar Atombomben werfen – wir werden sehen, was Biden in seinen letzten Präsidenten- Monaten noch alles umsetzen wird.
Das kann durchaus auch gefährlich werden – ein unzurechnungsfähiger Präsident in seinen letzten Amts- Monaten.
Key Facts
A flurry of polls conducted in the wake of the June 27 presidential debate showed Harris performing roughly the same as Biden against Trump (who has been leading the president by a slim margin for months), and more recent polls after the attempted assassination of Trump show similar trends.
Harris has also polled better than other Democrats commonly floated as replacement candidates to Biden, but the polls didn’t factor in how months of campaigning could change voters’ perceptions of many of the lesser-known candidates that don’t have the benefit of national name recognition like Harris does.
One CBS News/YouGov poll conducted last week gave Harris a slight edge: Trump led Harris by three points (51%-48%), while leading Biden by five (52%-47%) among likely voters (the poll’s margin of error was 2.7 points).
However, an Economist/YouGov poll (margin of error 3.1) conducted July 13 – 16 and released Thursday found Biden would lose to Trump 41% to 43%, while Harris would perform slightly worse, losing to Trump 39% to 44%.
A Reuters/Ipsos poll conducted and released Tuesday—after the attempted assassination of Trump—found both Biden and Harris are virtually statistically tied with Trump, but 69% of respondents see Biden as too old to work in government (margin of error 3.1).
Democratic polling firm Bendixen & Amandi found Harris beating the former president 42% to 41% (margin of error 3.1) in a survey released July 9 and first obtained by Politico, while Biden, Whitmer and Newsom all trail Trump.
A YouGov poll conducted July 3-6 found more Democrats and independents who lean Democrat prefer Biden over Harris as the nominee, 47% to 32%, while 21% said they weren’t sure (margin of error 4).
A Five Thirty Eight analysis of polls found Harris’ odds of winning the Electoral College over Trump are slightly better than Biden’s (38% versus 35%), but when various economic and political factors are incorporated, in addition to polls, Five Thirty Eight found Biden’s odds of winning swing states and the Electoral College against Trump are better than Harris’—48% to 31%.
A Reuters/Ipsos poll released July 2 (margin of error 3.5) found Harris would lose to Trump by one point, Biden tied Trump, while four governors who have been floated as potential Biden replacements—Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer, California Gov. Gavin Newsom, Kentucky Gov. Andy Beshear and Illinois Gov. J.B. Pritzker—would all perform worse than both Biden and Harris against Trump.
In a CNN/SSRS poll (margin of error 3.5) conducted June 28-30, Harris outperformed Biden, and three other potential candidates commonly floated to replace him, in a hypothetical matchup against Trump—but she would still lose to the former president by two points (while Biden would lose to Trump by six points).