Do. Nov 14th, 2024

Vorab:

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Vorab – die Stimmung in Israel:
A majority of Jewish Israelis back the continuation of IDF operations in Southern Lebanon, a survey published by the Israel Democracy Institute on Sunday shows.
A majority of Jewish Israeli respondents (54%) said they support a continuation of the fighting, while a minority (38%) expressed support for ceasefire negotiations with the Lebanese state.
https://www.jns.org/most-israeli-jews-support-continuation-of-lebanon-war/

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Das JNS (Jewish News Syndicate) berichtet:
https://www.jns.org/israel-advances-lebanon-ceasefire-plan-as-gift-to-trump/

(Nov. 14, 2024 / JNS)
Jerusalem is rushing to advance a ceasefire plan in Lebanon as a “welcome gift” to president-elect Donald Trump, The Washington Post reported on Wednesday. This would hand the Republican an early diplomatic victory upon his return to the White House.
Israel’s Strategic Affairs Minister Ron Dermer conveyed this message to President-elect Trump during a visit to his Florida estate on Sunday.

Following his meetings in Florida with Trump and his son-in-law and former senior adviser Jared Kushner, Dermer headed to Washington to meet Monday and Tuesday with Biden administration officials, including Amos Hochstein, the US- President’s special envoy to Lebanon.

The Post cited three current and former Israeli officials briefed on the meeting in its reporting.
“There is an understanding that Israel would gift something to Trump … that in January there will be an understanding about Lebanon,” an Israeli official said.

The official emphasized that the Israel Defense Forces will retain operational freedom to respond to any security threats from across the northern border, regardless of any diplomatic arrangements or paper agreements.

A Trump official told the Post that Kushner is expected to play an advisory role in any future negotiations with Saudi Arabia on normalization with Israel, even if he isn’t appointed to a formal White House position. Kushner helped broker the Abraham Accords during Trump’s first term in office, which established diplomatic relations between Israel and the United Arab Emirates (UAE), Bahrain, Sudan, and Morocco.

Sunday’s discussions at Mar-a-Lago centered on an Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon that involves Western and Russian cooperation. Dermer secretly visited Russia last week for follow-up discussions, after Russian officials visited Israel on Oct. 27 to discuss the plan.

The proposal calls for Moscow to prevent Hezbollah from resupplying via Syrian land routes.

According to Israeli officials, other details of the plan include moving the Hezbollah terrorist group north of the Litani River. The Lebanese military would then take control of the border area for a period of 60 days, overseen by the United States and Britain.

FPI- Anmerkung: Für diesen Plan braucht man nicht nur die Zustimmung des Iran, sondern auch die Zustimmung von Russland (= wie beim Iran -´

Das bedeutet, Russland und Iran müssen vor Jänner 2025 militärisch in die Knie gezwungen werden, damit sie diesen Vorgaben zustimmen= diesen Vorgaben gehorchen. Das wird nur dann kommen, wenn bei Länder militärisch keine Kraft mehr haben, um Aktionen dagegen zu machen

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